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The GDP number for the second quarter was revised up to 3.3% this morning. The market liked that, but not as much as people might have guessed. The Dow jumped up 200 points, which is substantial, but not an all-out rally.

The problem is probably that no one in his right mind thinks that Q3 and Q4 will be nearly as good. There is too much evidence of falling employment, rising prices, mortgage defaults, and slowing business spending. Being happy about the past is nice, but not when it is coupled with worry about the future. Below are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

DJIA: 11,515.18 (+1.85%)

NASDAQ: 1,300.65 (+1.22%)

S&P500: 2,411.64 (+1.48)

10-Year Bond: 3.7950% (+.0230%)

Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) continued their spikes up. The market is still enamored of the fact that the companies might avoid a government bail-out, which would wipe out common shareholders. Freddie was up about 10% and Fannie 15%.

The monoline insurers got a goose. MBIA (NYSE:MBI) said it would reinsure nearly $200 billion of municipal bonds backed by FGIC Corp. MBI shares jumped 34% to $16.14.

The excitement of the day boiled over into most of the financial stocks. Investors think there will be no recession. Bank write-off are over. All is well with the world.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) fired a few of its most senior managers. That includes its CFO and head of risk management. At a mortgage finance company, that is as close to the top of the pyramid as an executive gets unless that person is already the CEO.

The timing was awfully odd. All of the people moved out had been at Fannie Mae for at least a year. Over the last several days, the company's shares have turned upward as the market begins to believe that a federal bailout will not be needed to shore up its finances.

According to the AP, "banking industry consultant Bert Ely, a longtime Fannie and Freddie critic, was unimpressed by the changes, noting that the company promoted current executives, rather than hiring from outside." Ely makes some sense. When Fannie Mae began to get into trouble in early March, all of the key executives kept their jobs. They seemed to be good at what they were doing, or why would CEO Daniel Mudd have kept them on the job? When Fannie Mae's stock began to sell down aggressively in June, the team was not booted. When shares collapsed in July and were off over 70% from the beginning of the year, the whole gang was still getting salaries.

Wall Street may want to ask Mudd why he waited so long. At a lot of places, he would be the guy on his way out.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Since Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL)'s iTune virtually rules the music download business, it is not surprising that some people in the music industry would challenge its dominance from time to time. One of those times is now.

Artists are beginning to realize that the iTunes process of selling individual songs is hurting their album sales. According to The Wall Street Journal, "Label executives, managers and artists chafe against the iTunes policy that prevents them from selling an album only." Indeed, some artists like Kid Rock have stayed away from iTunes and their sales have done quite well.

The plan of selling music without iTunes is only likely to last so long. Apple's 99-cents-per-song format has proved irresistible to most customers. Bands that make a great deal of money may be able to risk staying off iTunes, but if they have one or two albums that do poorly, they will come back.

Perhaps the only way that labels and artists will break Apple's hold on music is to bring an antitrust suit. Apple does control enough of the market to make a case. Who knows?

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

It looks like the recession is hurting mobile phones sales. According to The Wall Street Journal, "For the full year, Gartner said it expects handset sales to grow 11% to 1.28 billion phones, slowing from last year's 16% growth."

A trend of that magnitude is bound to hit every company in the industry, but some have the financial strength and market share to weather the storm, That is especially true of Nokia (NYSE: NOK), which has a global market share of 40% of handset sales. Samsung, which has 15% of the market and is one of the largest companies in Asia, should also be fine.

Motorola (NYSE: MOT) is another matter. Its global share has dropped from nearly 15% to just above 10% in a year. More financial pressure could poison its chances of spinning off its handset operation in 2009. It is already questionable whether the division has any value at all.

The Motorola 10-Q shows that revenue at the company's mobile device operation fell 22% last quarter to $3.33 billion. The operating loss for the unit was $346 million. If the handset market as a whole is reaching a challenging period, what is to become of the weakest player in the industry?

The answer is that Motorola may not be able to get rid of its handset operation. It may be faced with the much harder task of fixing it.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Toyota (NYSE: TM) has already said that 2008 will be a bad year. Now it has revised down its sales numbers for 2009. The cut is about 7% and takes the company's estimate to 9.7 million vehicle sales worldwide.

The news may be bad for Toyota, but the company has a good balance sheet and has maintained a low cost base for years. Europe and North America is where the Japanese company said it is sustaining the most damage. According to The Wall Street Journal, the firm is "bracing for a long slowdown as robust sales to developing markets are failing to offset huge losses in the crumbling U.S. market."

For General Motors (NYSE: GM) and Ford (NYSE: F) the news could not be worse. Both rely on the U.S. market for the lion's share of their sales. Both are counting on some recovery in 2009 to allow them to stop the bleeding out of cash that threatens their abilities to remain independent and solvent.

The two U.S. car companies were going to go to the capital markets to raise money. Whether debt or equity investors would give them money becomes more problematic as each month of poor sales goes into the record book.

The government is talking about a $50 billion bail-out for U.S. car companies. That may be the only capital they can get.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Out of the generosity of their hearts, top management at Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) will take no raises next year. According to Reuters, "U.S. workers at the vice president level and higher will not receive salary increases for fiscal 2009."

Since Starbucks shares have moved from nearly $40 to under $16 in less than two years, the action seems fair enough. Given the company's performance, it actually looks like a sacrifice that is much too modest, especially for CEO and founder Howard Schultz.

A look at the Starbucks proxy shows that Schultz owns over 32 million shares. Last year, he got a salary of almost $1.2 million and total compensation of over $10.6 million. Given that Schultz was the chairman while Starbucks was headed down the tubes, that is a lot of money.

Schultz, a very rich man with poor shareholders, should be working for $1.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

There was a bit of a move up in the market today, but there was very little news to push sentiment one way or the other. Traders are too tired from the beating they have taken since Memorial Day.

DJIA : 11,504.87 +0.81%
NASDAQ: 2,382.46 +0.87%
S&P 500: 12.81.63 +0.8%
10 Year Bond 3.772% -0.0120
52-Week Lows

Short interest figures for stocks traded on both the NYSE and Nasdaq were released yesterday: Short sellers jumped out of both financials and big tech, signaling a possible turn up in those sectors.

Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) and Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) continued to rally, extending hopes they will not have to be bailed out by the government and that common shareholder will not be crushed. Late in the day Freddie was up 17% and Fannie 12%.

Very few companies had a decrease in the size of their shares sold short as Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) had. The numbers compare data from July 31 with figures from August 15.

The change is a bit odd because Intel's shares trade in the middle of their 52-week price range, changing hands at $23.15. So far this year, the company's stock price is down almost 15%.

There is evidence that PC sales are growing. Hewlett Packard (NYSE: HP) recently announced earnings. Its computer business did well, especially in Asia. Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) cannot build enough Macs. All of that may mean that the market undervalues Intel's potential earnings over the next few quarters.

Intel is also picking up market share from smaller rival AMD (NYSE: AMD), which is struggling with a large debt load. If the AMD situation worsens, Intel is likely to get a significant benefit.

Some investors may also be willing to bet that Intel's move into chips for small portable devices, little computers slightly larger and more powerful than cellphones, will pay off.

Whatever the reason, the gambles that Intel's stock will fall are falling themselves.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Every time the FDA turns around, a few more people have died from the diabetes drug Byetta, a product developed and marketed by Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) and Amylin Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: AMLN). It has to make one wonder how the regulators spend their spare time.

According to The Wall Street Journal, the two companies "disclosed the deaths of four patients taking the diabetes drug Byetta that had been previously reported to regulators but not yet made public." The drug has already killed two people previously, at least.

Lilly and Amylin said they were a bit slow coming forward with the news because they wanted to "provide context" and "avoid confusion" in the future. That is double talk for the two companies not wanting to say anything at all. Dead is dead and there is no way of getting around that.

Why the FDA has allowed the drug to stay on the market is anyone's guess.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

No one wants to own a gas station; the margins are too small. Consumers will only pay so much for petrol. If the price moves up, people begin to ride bicycles.

ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) will sell the last 600 stations it owns, walking away from a business that Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) left just a few months ago. According to The Wall Street Journal, "ConocoPhillips is expected to sell the remainder of its 600 company-owned gasoline stations to closely held PetroSun West LLC for $800 million."

The announcement says a great deal about the perverse economics of the oil business. Due to the recent rise in oil prices, pumping oil out of the ground is an excellent business. The profits on $120 crude are stupendous. But the refining industry is awful. Trying to make margins on the gas and diesel from that high-priced oil is extremely difficult. Demand gets hammered by the consumer's inability to absorb the huge increase in fuel prices.

The question, of course, is why any company would get into the business. That says a great deal about the big oil company strategy of dumping stations. Either the people buying them are fools, or the profits in the sector will come back as gas prices drop. If so, Big Oil will look silly.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

From the end of March to the end of June, problem banks, as they are defined by the FDIC, rose from 90 to 117. These are banks with a high percentage of "non-current" loans.

The trouble is that the agency may not have enough money to cover the possible upcoming bank closings. So the FDIC said it "might have to borrow money from the Treasury Department to see it through an expected wave of bank failures," according to The Wall Street Journal.

At least two implication arise from this. The most obvious is that the credit crisis is spreading. More banks are having trouble with mortgage, business and commercial real estate loans. Given the spreading effects of the recession, that is not odd.

The other is the extent to which the taxpayer will be hit because of lax bank management. Money from the Treasury is eventually money from every man, woman and child in the country. But who cares? After bailouts of banks and brokerages and possible help for car companies, what is a few more billion?

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Honda (NYSE: HMC) is being appropriately praised for building its model line around fuel-efficient cars, as it has for years. According to The New York Times, "No major automaker in America is doing better than Honda, whose sales are up 3 percent for the first seven months of this year in a market that has fallen 11 percent."

Honda did not make big money on SUVs when they were the profitable sector of the market. Now, it is not taking huge losses and has net income that is the envy of Detroit.. But its strategy may be short-sighted, especially outside the U.S.

There is plenty of evidence that SUVs are extremely popular in China, the world's second largest car market. The vehicles also do well in the Middle East and some parts of Latin America. As gas prices increase, so does the temptation for governments in large nations to underwrite the cost of gas as is already the case in China. Because of this kind of policy, oil prices may stay high, but gas prices could drop.

Honda's long-term plan to be the provider of the cars that use the least gas may look good now, but petrol prices could swing down again. Then the company may not look so brilliant.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Individual investors and mutual funds are not the only ones who have been burned on the stock price drops at Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE). JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) reported Monday that it has lost $600 million on its investment in the two companies. According to Reuters, the big bank holds preferred stock in the mortgage firms.

The news begs the question of what other banks have similar investments and how much losses from these investments will damage their earnings?

Banks are in enough trouble due to subprime paper holdings, LBO debt and credit card loan pools. Holdings in the mortgage agencies could add enough on the pile to hurt third quarter earnings and cause losses for some firms.

Investors have yet another reason to stay away from bank stocks.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

China Petroleum (NYSE: SNP) has already announced that its profits were down 71% in the first half. Now PetroChina (NYSE: PTR) is getting ready to report a drop in its profits.

The culprit is China's energy policy, which is hurting investors in the Chinese oil industry. According to the AP, "While other global oil giants are reporting record profits, Chinese government price controls prevent PetroChina and other domestic refiners from passing on higher costs for crude oil to consumers." It is an excellent reason for investors to avoid these stocks.

The central government control of oil profits is a fine example of why China should not have taken many of its large companies private. China needs to keep gas and diesel prices down to control inflation and offer cheap fuel to maintain transportation costs of exports at low levels.

With oil trading around $120 a barrel, the oil refiners in China could actually swing to losses in the second half. China is driving investors out of its most important corporations. PetroChina already trades near a 52-week low. That is likely to get worse.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

The Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone is supposed to be the hottest handset on the planet, but in some parts of the world it has very little appeal at all.

The market in India is teaching Apple a lesson or two. The first is that price is an issue. No matter how much people love the product, there is a point at which the cost is simply too high.

According to MarketWatch reports from India, "The princely sum of 31,000 rupees ($720) for the 8-gigabyte iPhone and 36,100 rupees ($840) for the 16 GB version was too high for even such a cool gizmo." If Apple is going to make any progress in one of the world's largest markets, it is going to have to solve that problem. Otherwise, more reasonably priced products from other phone makers such as market leader Nokia (NYSE: NOK) are going to continue to rule the roost.

The other issue in India is that it has very little 3G infrastructure. That makes the new version of the iPhone less appealing. Apple can do very little to solve this problem, but it does say that there are some limits that even the most popular product can't overcome.

Apple is about to launch the iPhone is Russia and sales are expected to be good there, but the company's goal of getting a quick start in every important market may be thwarted.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.